This is not true of blogs like Marginal Revolution. Why it's in AOC's interests to challenge Old Joe. Useful introduction to some fundamentals, from Pythagoras to Newton to e and complex numbers. Then nationalism became generally despised by educated liberals, and so on We cant, how our own ideas will appear in the future but its fascinating how little we, to imagine how foolish our own views will inevitably appear to those looking back on us. Classic text, university level. Cowen & Collison handed out fast grants to researchers during covid and at my request advised UKRI on how to speed up in spring 2020. I know some of them. If you want to understand modern culture, the 19th Century smashup of the traditional world with the capitalist, liberal and increasingly atheist world, and what deep forces lie behind the ideas we see all around us, its the best book. His boss and predecessor was Kelly Johnson who wrote. He was a mathematician who got interested in how markets work. Looks at the bigshots of modern military thinking. I put * next to 7 which is a guess at what people 100 years hence will find most interesting on this list. . If you really are interested in policy and how someone tries to bring principles of high performance to government, this is essential. The critical meta-lesson is the same for all the below: practically nobody has any interest in extreme performance and all governments in the west will try to stop you applying these lessons. The Art of War, Sun Tzu. There's a big bad enemy out there, possibly with superior weaponry but. If you read his blogs and trusted him on covid over the entire CDC/FDA/WHO bureaucracies, youd have come out far ahead. , you see a world historical genius skip between vast scales of time and space, connecting tiny things happening this moment to the biggest things affecting decades or centuries to come. Sources of Power, Klein. . E.g Around 1848 nationalism was an elite opinion held by educated liberals who thought of liberalism and nationalism as naturally, and morally, connected, while uneducated peasants were, nationalistic. Anybody who goes to Hollywood can see right away what the setup is Hollywood is Hollywood, theres nothing you can say about it that isnt true, good or bad. A big problem for UK political discussion is people focus obsessively on the immediate interest of the London media rather than trying to think about, . For this unprecedented project in world history Groves had no huge central staff, he worked with a brilliant woman and a tiny staff with truly extreme decentralisation. . by Lee Kuan Yew. Ive got a list of a few dozen people I follow on Twitter (I use Tweetdeck + Lists for Twitter) and will make this public shortly. Non-fiction books on politics fail to give you this crucial sense. Re George Mueller, the man who managed the Apollo program. The best modern subject for those interested in how political decisions are taken and effective action in politics/government is, . Most educated people remain unaware of how little home environment affects IQ/education nor that modern analysis of DNA has confirmed the data from decades of twin/adoption studies. My essay on an 'Odyssean' Education - Dominic Cummings's Blog My essay on an 'Odyssean' Education On the evening of Friday 11 October 2013, the Guardian published a draft essay of mine - ' Some thoughts on education and political priorities ' (links here and here ). The resignation of Dominic Raab. , Robert Caro. It is by far the best insider book Ive read on modern UK politics and the only one that realistically and honestly faces a) the failures of MPs as managers and systems thinkers, and b) the failures of the civil service. In the meantime Ill post another tomorrow. Who is Dominic Cummings? Book accompanying an OU course. Their favourite argument is the laughable its a small island, about as sensible as a general saying Alexander the Great was using cavalry so its out of date. Most economists cant synthesise worth a damn. For this unprecedented project in world history Groves had no huge central staff, he worked with a brilliant woman and a tiny staff with truly extreme decentralisation. NB. Like LKY, crucial if you really are interested in practical planning for high performance government. ; 2) how to map the spread of memes and identify critical nodes in the network that, if influenced somehow, can amplify or dampen signals? The Deputy Prime Minister resigned yesterday because a lawyer found against him on two of the eight allegations made. This excellent short book introduces quantum mechanics using A Level maths. , Hardy. I think hes right that most academics assume models for how this works that are clearly not how people really think under pressure. Many who used them went on to the famous Kolmogorov schools.). Remember that approxmitately no MPs and few in Congress are aware of these facts or ideas yet they speculate confidently about Putins thinking on nuclear weapons. A remarkable 19th Century book about propaganda and politics that influenced Lenin, Hitler and PR pioneers like Bernays. , and let non-player characters stumble into a set of critical decisions in November? I wrote this blog which has a further reading list. And power was given unto them over the fourth part of the earth, to kill with sword, and with hunger, and with death, and with the beasts of the earth. , Ben Rich. One must not be squeamish about admitting this (Strauss). I really liked this classic but a lot was beyond me. AT&T could only support it when a monopoly. On digital fabrication. Youll see its very similar to Grovess principles (above). My wild Westminster Dubbed 'The Gazelle' by the press, she was a trusted aide who babysat Boris, chauffeured Dominic Cummings and chaperoned Carrie Johnson when the PM was ill. As a new television drama depicts Downing Street during the pandemic, Cleo Watson describes her whirlwind year at No 10 Dress to thrill Feeling gilty? Two of the most important documents on the computer revolution by two of the critical figures in ARPA/PARC. By Andy Hayes, news reporter Thursday 27 May 2021 06:28, UK Matt Hancock, Boris Johnson, Carrie Symonds and even Dilyn the dog have been the focus of numerous explosive claims from Dominic Cummings judge timothy kenny political affiliation. A classic on the 1972 campaign. The real reason is most people in politics dont want to face the big questions about what government is for and how to do it better (and especially dont want to face the quality of people). Also. Dominic Cummings told Parliament that his ex-boss, Prime Minister Boris Johnson, was "unfit for the job" and that government incompetence lead to thousands of excess Covid-19 deaths. , Gertner. (NB. Nobel-winner, Feynman sparring partner, co-founder of Santa Fe Institute, wrote a book on complex systems for the general reader. Cummings' understanding of modern genetics, IQ, evolutionary psychology, child development and neuroscience, as evidenced by his blog and advice to Michael Gove when education minister, is a. So a philosopher simultaneously prepared the ground for Hitler, deeply influenced todays Left, and personally hated Bismarck and anti-semites. One must not be squeamish about admitting this (Strauss). Dominic Cummings, a special adviser to UK education minister Michael Gove, discusses technological advances (quantum computing, 3D printing, energetics etc. Almost anything good you read on strategy and conflict is based on ideas you see here. ), The foundational crisis of mathematics, set theory, Hilbert, Godel, and Turing. Reading List - Dominic Cummings substack Reading List Dominic Cummings Jun 26, 2022 79 127 As long promised (sorry! The greatest deeds are thoughts (Some confusion about his ideas is a result of his sister who was a Nazi supporter and edited things he wrote to distort his actual views. A good biography of Einstein by Isaacson. If youre involved in Isaac Physics and want to discuss how it could continue please get in touch.). Posted January 13, 2014 . Six months later tens of thousands died for the lack of such skills. Psychologie des foules, Gustave le Bon. Mathematics: A short introduction, Gowers. Six months later tens of thousands died for the lack of such skills. The philosophising Tolstoy fought against the picture of an infinitely complex system in which most thoughts and actions fade to zero significance quickly but a few connect to others with highly non-linear effects. The Power Broker, Robert Caro. NB. My blog with other books HERE. David Deutschs books. The politicians soon are on the next current thing too. Nelson, biography by John Sugden. Many academics predicted OpenAIs approach would not work but have been proved repeatedly wrong.). Reckoning With Risk, Gigerenzer. Pflouffe ran the Obama 08 campaign and 2012 re-election. Highly recommended. Dominic Cummings Offers a Sorry-Not-Sorry for U.K. Lockdown Breach The top adviser to Prime Minister Boris Johnson caused a furor after it was learned he had driven 260 miles to his parents'. On expert decisions under pressure, like firemen. Elite polarisation, Cicero & fishponds. The vaccine taskforce a) created huge value for the UK and the world, b) would, have happened without [typo original!] , John Hoskyns. The Nazis did indeed think they were creating a new world beyond good and evil, so did Stalin. Click repeat), , Hamming. (Some confusion about his ideas is a result of his sister who, a Nazi supporter and edited things he wrote to distort his actual views. Nobel-winner, Feynman sparring partner, co-founder of Santa Fe Institute, wrote a book on complex systems for the general reader. You and your research, Hamming. Rosen on military innovation, very relevant to discussions on things like drones and AI in Ukraine. A year later he lost a power struggle with. The insider account of the Manhattan Project by its legendary leader. I did pinch ideas from how Bismarck dealt with the Prussian constitutional crisis.). , Gelfand and Glagoleva. I blogged on it here. Re George Mueller, the man who managed the Apollo program. Its crucial to remember both aspects of this genius-monster without whom probably no World War I, Lenin, Hitler etc summed up by Salisburys two comments: One misses the extraordinary penetration of the old man and he will do things of which it would be absurd to suspect any other statesman in Europe. As long promised (sorry! With Bismarck you can follow the twists and turns of a true (and monstrous) genius in great detail and learn an extraordinary amount about how politics, government, war and diplomacy truly work. A remarkable 19th Century book about propaganda and politics that influenced Lenin, Hitler and PR pioneers like Bernays. Dominic Cummings Dec 8, 2021 93 726 Subscriber-only AMA, Friday 12-2 UK time. Oppenheimer is better known but Groves was his boss. Almost no MPs, journalists or academics have any idea about just how costly such bureaucracy truly is or how these bureaucracies truly work and the criminality and near-insanity theyre capable of. This is true even of those who frequently complain about this phenomenon. Very very telling that in a recent interview with Tyler Cowen, the recent head of the CIA was clearly unaware of this work, which includes results showing that his own agency is routinely bested by people like unemployed grandmothers in a hut in Central America. And a very recent post. Twitter Web App Retweets This Tweet was deleted by the Tweet author. the failure of alignment and/or the inherent drive of high intelligence to escape constraints/control/alignment with others goals? (NB. (I used this to argue for checklists and transparency over the repeated failures of social services with child abuse when in the Department for Education 2011-14. Notes on Colin Grays Strategy and Defence Planning, following on from military innovation, The Kill Chain, nuclear (sorry for slow progress on Payne). He believed that these clues were to be found partly in the evidence of the heavens and in the constitution of elements(and that is what gives the false suggestion of his being an experimental natural philosopher), but also partly in certain papers and traditions handed down by the brethren in an unbroken chain back to the original cryptic revelation in Babylonia. The Selling of the President 1968, McGinniss. . Linked, Barabasi. Ive only read a few excerpts of these but reading them all is a project for later this year. . I like reading stuff about people where incentives and feedback work, from used car salesmen to fortune tellers. A striking thing: notice how they take regulation and speed extremely seriously because they have direct experience of it, in contrast to most professional economists who influence media debate on regulation who have no idea of how government really works and how destructive it is to make simple things take years, how it drives people away, rewards the worst people and companies etc. Functions and Graphs, Gelfand and Glagoleva. Its fascinating both for getting hard things done and how to reform science funding. Much (mis)quoted, rarely read. Some supported this approach but as youd expect the worst hated it. Two of the most important documents on the computer revolution by two of the critical figures in ARPA/PARC. Many interesting developments and the launch of the 2024 campaign may be only a few weeks away, if Trump announces on 4 July as is being discussed in Mar-a-Lago. (I knew Mark, a professor at Cambridge, who spent a huge amount of time over the past decade helping state school pupils get hold of great physics material via Isaac Physics. A classic non-specialist introduction to reasoning. While No 10 was trying to get a grip on the pandemic, news came in . The Man from the Future, Bhattacharya. Caitlyn Scott-Lee is said to have been found in a forested area next to a playing field at the 44,000-per-year Wycombe Abbey School on Friday night. (If anyone knows if his remarkable secretary, Mrs. OLeary, left any records or an oral history please leave links below. I think hes right that most academics assume models for how this works that are clearly not how people really think under pressure. Someone should run a prize for the best 10,000 word essay summarising the fundamental lessons of this book (which I havent read in full, just skimmed, because of time not a judgement). You can download that version (2.0) here. Ill do a separate list on science funding. Physics for Future Presidents, and Energy for Future Presidents, Richard Muller. The real reason is most people in politics dont want to face the big questions about what government is for and how to do it better (and especially dont want to face the quality of people). Yudkowskys Sequences, the core document of the rationalist movement. I was amazed and desperate. Viz the famous lists, Yes to Renoir, Welles, Chaplin, Keaton, No to Fellini (tried to watch 8 1/2 at least five times and fallen asleep fast every time) and Hitchcock. If you want to follow the cutting edge of this research follow Steve Hsus blog, which you should anyway. I'll post final LKY notes tomorrow. Dyson, Hawking) is wrong. In all of these struggles I tried to follow Boyds advice such as, and in all of them, as the opponents OODA crumbled I observed what Boyd said would happen: it starts to feel like your opponent is working for you, the more they try, the worse it gets (e.g when Cameron called the press conference to denounce lies about the fact that Turkey was in the process of joining the EU!). Most educated people remain unaware of how little home environment affects IQ/education nor that modern analysis of DNA has confirmed the data from decades of twin/adoption studies. NB. , George Dyson (son of Freeman). Aug 25, 2022. Rationality, Vernon Smith. The critical meta-lesson is the same for all the below: Grovess last personnel report concluded that his effectiveness is unfortunately lessened somewhat by the fact that he often irritates his associates, but he has extraordinary capacity to get things done. Then he was effectively fired. I started reading him around 1999 when I first got involved in politics. Mandelbrot. In particular read. It also corrects a lot of modern books that have reverted to the World War I was a terrible accident / railway timetables idea in fact crucial nodes in the Prussian deep state network were trying to force war in summer 1914 and to manipulate Wilhelm II into going along with their plans. Start trial Already a paid subscriber? If you get into it you have no right to be bitter, youre the one who sat down and joined the game People who dont succeed, people whove had long bad times like Renoir Renoir was the best director ever are people who didnt want to make the kind of pictures that producers want to make. Like all the best political advice you dont need to be clever to understand it. , Gershenfeld (MIT). People who havent studied it often mock Fukuyamas The End of History but most do not realise the last chapter is about Nietzsche and the Last Man, and this chapter is the most relevant today. You can learn from him about how to get very hard things done without admiring his character. Almost no MPs or senior officials study him or are even midly interested. A good biography of Einstein by Isaacson. Then I realised the truth. True of Bismarck (only appointed because of meltdown in royal circles), true of the likes of SpaceX (an explosion away from bankruptcy) and Steve Jobs (tried to sell early and was turned down), true of Brexit We just dont see all the stories of very able people trying really hard who get taken out by bad luck early in the story. Anyone interested in terrorism and counter-terrorism should watch Pontecorvos movie The Battle of Algiers, one of the best movies ever made. If you get into it you have no right to be bitter, youre the one who sat down and joined the game People who dont succeed, people whove had long bad times like Renoir Renoir was the best director ever are people who didnt want to make the kind of pictures that producers want to make. (Planning to see some classics Ive missed: theory as not relevant to the old Hollywood where the producers called the shots, not the directors. Clausewitz. by Rumelt. Like LKY, crucial if you really are interested in practical planning for high performance government. the word strategy is a) used differently in military books, b) used differently over time, c) constantly misused in politics.). If one could observe a discussion between Bismarck and one politician from the 20th Century, he might be the most interesting choice. . , which was unpublished for many years and seems to be generally unknown, is super-useful. A Boyd ally wrote about his time in the Pentagon dealing with the extreme nightmare of procurement. Calculus, Spivak (2008 edition). Like with ARPA-PARC its fascinating to see how funders ignore such successful examples. Please post questions below. Book accompanying an OU course. *Come and See ( , Russian). summarising responses to this. Mathematics: Its content, methods and meaning, Kolmogorov et al. If youre thinking of doing a startup or just curious about how to do hard things you should read. Below is a summary of the main ideas. A lot of Boyd (including getting inside your enemys OODA loop) is interpreting Sun Tzu after 2,000 years of case studies proving him right plus some modern ideas. Hes a very unusual thinker and much more right much more often than just about anybody, partly because of how he thinks. With Bismarck you can follow the twists and turns of a true (and monstrous) genius in great detail and learn an extraordinary amount about how politics, government, war and diplomacy truly work. Considered by many in Silicon Valley to be the best book on the details of management. Again the meta-lesson: the media often obsesses with specific horrific stories which for a few days absorb SW1 attention, but there is no interest in actually solving the institutional problems and the institutions will successfully resist change during a media panic then go back to business as usual. The best book on politics. He opted out of the traditional science funding system early. I thought this was outstanding and every young person aspiring to be influential in politics should read it. and I suspect it would be one of the most useful things to force politicians and senior officials to read. How to Solve It, Polya. A classic book on mathematical problem solving. , Kahneman. Please just ask one question as precisely as you can, it will increase the chance I answer. The title comes from Revelations 6 (7-8): And when he had opened the fourth seal, I heard the voice of the fourth beast say, Come and see. He was a businessman who understood systems thinking and was the first head of the Policy Unit in No10 for Thatcher. Man-Computer Symbiosis, Licklider, 1960 and The Computer as a Communication Device, Bob Taylor, 1968. Whenever and. I advised spads and officials to read this in 2019 and ignore the media. It was night, bombs were exploding, and mothers were covering their children with whatever bedding they had, and then they would lie on top of them. I will publish soon a chronology of 1862-67 following the twists and turns of Schleswig-Holstein, the escalating conflict with Austria, the domestic conflict running through the period. Steve Jobs advised Obama to do the same but it didnt happen. From Third World to First World by Lee Kuan Yew. Groves (fired), Bob Taylor (fired), George Mueller (not funded to push on to Mars after the moon), Renoir The list goes on and on. or waste the most important element in conflict. Welles dismissed the French auteur theory as not relevant to the old Hollywood where the producers called the shots, not the directors. , Leonard Susskind (2013). A general introduction to number theory, topology, calculus and other subjects. Like Hoskyns (below) genuine rare insight and almost totally ignored. Follow Julia Galef. On connections between quantum physics, computation and information theory. NB. Influence, Cialdini. ): how much was the. Its often found in terrorist safe houses when raided. In particular Ill add textbooks, history and philosophy which Ive largely left out. Michael Nielsen on quantum mechanics and computers: Why the world needs quantum mechanics Quantum Computing for Everyone Quantum Computing for the Determined. On connections between quantum physics, computation and information theory. , Adam Smith. Dominic Cummings has hit back at Boris Johnson's partygate defence, accusing him of spreading "further misinformation". We can now test fertilised eggs for common risk factors such as mental disorders and heart attacks and. Use a small number of good people (10% to 25% compared to the so-called normal systems). The main biography of Buffett, The Snowball, is also interesting. Just like despite ARPA-PARCs success, almost no science funding is done like that in the world (hence why I made the creation of. Also cf. But this also means theres always billion dollar bills on the pavement sometimes even trillion dollar bills, like do vaccines much faster and smarter than usual in spring 2020, and like now with 2024 approaching. On prediction. Cited by many professional mathematicians as an inspiration. The more I study the more clear it is that luck plays a crucial part in almost all famous successes. If you want to understand the modern intellectual classes media, academia and politics this plugs you straight into their psychology. The smartest person Einstein said he knew wrote one of the first things on existential risk. RT @zebulgar: Step aside Andy Grove, I believe @chughesjohnson has written the new bible for managers Took me a while to work through my reading list so I could start this, but the writing is phenomenal, let alone the content Must-read for any founder, but especially after your Series A . On typical problems dealing with statistics, Bayes Theory, and how to improve understanding of probability. I found his Nobel lecture fascinating and I suspect it would be one of the most useful things to force politicians and senior officials to read. I enjoyed/learned from Isaacsons biography of Steve Jobs. Gawande. Theres no question about this. His. Dominic Cummings Steve has a startup that is a leading player in this emerging field. Professor Sides Dominic Cummings Nov 22, 2022 59 134 Ask Me Anything Monday 28 November, 1900-2100 Dominic Cummings Nov 21, 2022 57 310 If we could predict events like the fall of the Berlin Wall better it would have huge value. was the fundamental reason I think Brexit is the right idea and the EU is doomed to fail in important ways. Groves (fired), Bob Taylor (fired), George Mueller (not funded to push on to Mars after the moon), Renoir The list goes on and on. A classic book on calculus / analysis designed for undergraduates. I was amazed and desperate. , Gowers. Ditto for the Johnson volumes (Ive not read) when Caro publishes the last. (Dostoyevsky was Nietzsches favourite novellist! For example: The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Many interesting developments and the launch of the 2024 campaign may be only a few weeks away, if Trump announces on 4 July as is being discussed in Mar-a-Lago. British political writing depends hugely on assuming that much of the newspaper coverage is roughly true, so given much is actually invented it means the books repeat a lot of fake news and miss the point. , Paret et al. On May 22, 2020, The Guardian and Daily Mirror newspapers in the UK published details of how Dominic Cummings, senior aide to the British prime minister, had broken lockdown rules by travelling 420 km to a family estate with his wife (who had suspected COVID-19) and child. For example: , Andy Grove, ex-founder/CEO of Intel. Cummings has also instructed the advisers to read High Output Management by Andrew Grove, the former chief executive of computer-chip manufacturer Intel, who "warns that success breeds. Ive written a few things about his work. A scholarly history of maths, not for a general reader. (A great highlight of Oxford for me was four-hour tutorials with RLF on Athenian democracy, Thucydides, Alexander etc.). I wish there was something similar on the history of the LMB at Cambridge, one of our crown jewels which Whitehall (and the VC office) has gradually buried with stupid regulation. The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver. *Chaplin City Lights, The Gold Rush, Modern Times, Great Dictator. . Mathematics for the Nonmathematician, Morris Kline. His point about. The difficulty comes from the fact its psychologically very hard to stick to and almost all bureaucracies operate with incentives and culture that push in opposite directions. In 2018 I asked some academics to consider this and we built a crude tool. Tolstoy and Dostoyevsky. Posted January 13, 2014 Source: Pexels There's a lot of hope today that playing mindless brain training games will make you. It amazes me how many scientists and economists know nothing or almost nothing about it. On digital fabrication. (I spent ~2 years reading a lot of books on this ~2005-15. Richard Muller. This excellent short book introduces quantum mechanics using A Level maths. People who havent studied it often mock Fukuyamas. The replication disaster means you have to be careful about what you believe but its still a good book. I'm thinking re 'What should Labour do to win the next election'. Those who think very fast timetables are plausible, because (partly) they worry about the effects of their comments. No question, it's Dominic Cummings. He also wrote a, A great textbook by the worlds leading scholar on the subject. Quotes. It was a direct inspiration for my terrorist demand to Boris, July 2019: we must create an ARPA. *Renoir La Grande Illusion; La Regle de Jeu (Renoir said of the rage about the film, shot in 1938 between Munich and war, that hed showed a society in the process of disintegration, so that they [the characters] were defeated at the onset the audience recognized this. , in contrast to most professional economists who influence media debate on regulation who have no idea of how government really works and how destructive it is to make simple things take years, how it drives people away, rewards the worst people and companies etc. Its fascinating both for getting hard things done and how to reform science funding. I know some of them. Keynes essay on Newton is great: He was the last of the magicians, the last of the Babylonians and Sumerians, the last great mind which looked out on the visible and intellectual world with the same eyes as those who began to build our intellectual inheritance rather less than10,000years ago Why do I call him a magician? Interesting on the psychology of selling and marketing. , summarising the arguments on why artificial general intelligence is so dangerous and why controlling these dangers is so very hard. 2h It is not a forecast & says explicitly 'this is not a forecast' 2 1 I started reading him around 1999 when I first got involved in politics. Colonel John Boyds briefings are great. Good Strategy, Bad Strategy by Rumelt. The smartest person Einstein said he knew wrote one of the first things on existential risk. ducktrap salmon expiration date,
Devonshire Jewelry Company,
Amanda Uprichard Fae Dress Blue,
Jane Cameron Agee Cause Of Death,
Articles D