He'll never walk much or provide and value on the bases, but his power in the Blue Jay's stacked lineup is too tantalizing to pass up. Let's keep our 2021 MLB Player Rankings series rolling with a look at the top 25 outfielders. The movement of a pitch is defined in inches, both in How far, in feet, a runner is ranging off the bag at the Escape Velocity takes the average of a player's batted ball velocities subtracted from 88. The so-called five-tool player is a special breed, as those who truly rate above average in each category are extremely rare. Last year was particularly concerning, as his exit velocity and barrel percentage fell by eight percent and four percent, respectively. Starling Marte made a unique bit of history in 2021, becoming the first player in MLB history with at least 20 stolen bases in both leagues in the same season. Realmuto, C, PhilliesKey stat: 46.7 percent caught stealing rate in 2019. On the other hand, he was a 25-year-old career minor leaguer, and 43 games are far too small a sample to make an accurate judgment on what kind of player he will be moving forward. The 2021 MLB Draft Preview position rankings finally covers its last group of hitters today with a closer look at the outfielders. He even threw a ball 100.8 mph on April 21, though it didnt result in an assist. But imagine him with this cannon attached to his shoulder. Because of the team he plays for and the lack of flash in his game, he flies under the radar, but he was an absolute superstar last year. Springer has been one of the most productive outfielders in the game over the past five years, and he has joined up with a Blue Jays team that averaged 5.03 runs per game in 2020. His 2.3 BB/9 in 123.1 minor league innings is a good indication of his ability to throw strikes, so he just needs to settle in at the MLB level and avoid further arm issues. SHOP Top 100 Outfielders For 2021 Fantasy Baseball: Schwarber And Scrubs Edition July 2, 2021 | Top 100 Outfielders | 19 Comments by: Coolwhip So with the month of June in the rearview mirror, balls were once sticky but now clean and clear. 1 prospect in baseball with the Red Sox in 2017, Benintendi never quite lived up to expectations in Boston, but he has set himself up for a nice free agency payday after a strong 2022 season. Even during his struggles last year, Laureano still managed to put together a .338 on-base percentage, and he is just one year removed from hitting .288 with 24 home runs and 13 steals. Hernandez was signed as a super-utility . He racked up 4.7 WAR despite missing 35 games early in the season with a fractured rib. And much-ballyhooed Mariners rookie Jarred Kelenic has a moderate knee strain. Everything about his 2020 was promising: A career-high exit velocity and hard-hit percentage, both ranking in the top 5 percentile of all qualified hitters, a three percent increase in walk rate, and a massive power surge. Nothing really changed in his underlying statistics besides a slight increase in strikeout rate, however, so he is a strong bounce-back candidate. All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference and FanGraphs. Also trying to bounce back from a lost 2020 season is Austin Meadows, who battled through an injury-plagued campaign in which he hit just .204 with 4 home runs. Read more about how arm strength is calculated on Tom Tango's blog here . A Jones 10. Harper looked far more comfortable in year two in Philadelphia, increasing his walk rate by four percent and cutting his strikeout rate by nine. He earned a starting nod in the All-Star Game, and he deserves a ton of credit for the job he did protecting Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out of the cleanup spot in the Toronto lineup. In a down year by his standards, Betts was still a 4.2 WAR player. rHR - HR Saving Catch Runs. There were only seven players with an on-base percentage higher than Conforto's last year, and only four of those seven could match his .412 on-base percentage. I want my superplayer to own a cannon and have shown time and time again that he can be accurate with it. Previous picks: Michael Brantley (hit), Nelson Cruz (power), Trea Turner (run), Kevin Kiermaier (defense). one base to another, like Home To First. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. Learn more here. Or, he could be in minors by July. Previous picks: Jeff McNeil (hit), Gary Snchez (power), Tim Locastro (run), Victor Robles (defense), Javier Bez, SS, CubsKey stat: Five assists over 90 mph in 2019. He hit .310/.383/.458 with 42 extra-base hits and 47 steals in 52 attempts to lead the majors. 16. In the third season of his massive 13-year, $330 million contract with the Philadelphia Phillies, there was no question that Bryce Harper lived up to his salary. The 30-year-old showed a less patient approach at the plate, which resulted in a middling .318 on-base percentage, but his power production is enough to earn him a spot here. After missing much of the 2019 season and all of last year with a gruesome injury, Haniger finally returned to action, posting a 122 OPS+ with 39 home runs and 100 RBI for the upstart Mariners. Each player was only included at the position where he played the most innings. The 28-year-old hit .291 with 35 homers, 97 RBIs, 106 runs and an .899 OPS the last time we saw him. He tallied a career-high 42 doubles along with 35 home runs, 84 RBI and 101 runs scored in a 5.9 WAR season. Eddie Rosario is another player I wouldn't draft at this spot. The 21-year-old had 23 homers and 20 steals in the Minors in 2019, but thats the only full Minor League season hes played, and the left adductor muscle strain he suffered in his fourth Cactus League game spoiled any chance he had of cracking the Mariners Opening Day roster. For the remaining three-quarters of the season, however, he hit .190 with a .644 OPS. Categories: How fast, in miles per hour, a ball was hit by a batter. Jorge Soler is one of the most interesting players on this list. Alex Verdugo is a player who is much more valuable in real life than in fantasy. Reynolds hit.302/.390/.522 with 35 doubles, 24 home runs, 90 RBI and 93 runs scored for a 146 OPS+ despite having little in the way of protection in a bad Pittsburgh lineup. We move to the final two groups, left and right handed pitchers later this week as we are now just days away from draft day. A full season alongside Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. in the San Diego Padres lineup would provide him with the best protection he's had at any point in his career, and with free agency fast approaching after the 2024 season he's playing for a huge payday. The 31-year-old hit .283/.369/.630 for a 178 OPS+ while slugging 40 home runs in just 499 plate appearances, and his 6.3 WAR still ranked sixth among all American League players. Catch up on the Top 25 in 2022 series: Catchers, First Basemen, Second Basemen, Shortstops, Third Basemen. Buxton is the riskier pick, as he has only played more than 100 games once in his career, but he provides more power and baserunning ability than Laureano. Jump is a Statcast metric that shows which players have Martinez, Charlie Blackmon, Teoscar Hernndez, Austin Meadows, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in "feet per second in a player's fastest one-second Major League Baseball is loaded with talent in 2021, and the outfield is where you'll find some of the game's biggest stars. Assuming he is healthy, of course. outfield. xBA measures the likelihood that a batted ball will Even with all of those free passes and teams pitching around him, he still managed 20 doubles, 29 home runs and 95 RBI. 1 spot in 2023? He hit the walk-off home run in the NL Wild Card Game and had a three-homer game in Game 5 of the NLCS. games / 5. 2 prospect in baseball when the season began, he lived up to the hype and then some by hitting .284/.345/.509 with 25 doubles, 28 home runs, 75 RBI, 84 runs scored and 25 steals in 132 games. As a rookie, he hit .314/.377/.503 with 37 doubles, 16 home runs and 68 RBI to finish fourth in NL Rookie of the Year balloting and rack up 4.2 WAR. Arm Strength. The 27-year-old is miscast as a center fielder (-14 DRS, -3.2 UZR/150) and that undercut his overall value a bit. Current: How hard, in miles per hour, a fielder throws the ball. There's still a chance we'll see him in the Majors before the end of April, however, so he's someone to keep in mind in the latter half of fantasy drafts. A Rios And because it's just as. Catch up on the 2021 MLB Player Rankings series:Catchers,First Basemen,Second Basemen, Third Basemen,Shortstops. Luis Robert didn't quite meet the massive and unfair expectations placed on him in his rookie season, but an above-average OPS and 20 combined home runs and steals showed his immense potential. One of the tougher players to slot on this list, Buxton played in only 61 games while missing time with a hip strain and fractured hand. Despite missing almost all of September with a hairline fracture in his left thumb, Bez tied for third in Defensive Runs Saved (26) and placed second among all players in Outs Above Average (+19). Jump is calculated only on plays that are Two Stars or harder, meaning Max Kepler is someone I like at this spot. Varsho split his time between right field (541.2 innings), center field (378.2 innings) and catcher (175.0 innings) as one of the more unique utility players in the sport. The former top prospect excelled in his rookie season, hitting .333 with a 140 OPS+. Unless you go with a starting. Kyle Schwarber, Washington Nationals/Boston Red Sox. J.T. Robles struggled in 2020, but he had 17 homers, 28 steals, 65 RBIs and 86 runs in '19 and has no competition for playing time this season. In addition, ATC Projections by Ariel Cohen were the #1 most accurate projections system in 2019. The 28-year-old hit .305/.394/.556 for a 140 OPS+ with 32 doubles, 24 home runs and 71 RBI in 485 plate appearances, earning his first All-Star selection. Right behind them are Mookie Betts, who someone got better in his first season in Dodger Blue, setting a career-high in sweet spot percentage and home run rate. Acuna gets the slight edge because of his advantage in baserunning (32 projected steals to 16 steals), but Soto, who is coming off an absurd 201 WRC+ season, has a strong argument as the best hitter in baseball. Castellanos and Blackmon, meanwhile, faded dramatically after blazing starts. The 31-year-old remains one of baseballs most imposing sluggers, but he has appeared in just 41 regular season games over the past two years. 2023 Fantasy Baseball ROS Rankings Apr 30, 2023 Position OF View Import a Team Eligibility Evaluate any Trade in Seconds with our Trade Analyzer >> Go Premium For FREE Deposit at least $10 at a. 53 games are too small a sample size to make any grand judgments, and his batted ball rates don't quite back up the standard numbers, but Mountcastle is a solid bet to hit in the high .200s with 20-25 home runs. Mullins didn't quite match the out-of-nowhere 30/30 season he put together in 2021, but he was still one of the game's better everyday center fielders. He also played a solid defensive center field in a 5.7 WAR season. Outfielder Jump. Perhaps most important of all, he played in a career-high 151 games, proving he can stay healthy for a full season after injuries had significantly limited him in 2019 (69 games) and 2021 (92 games). mlb outfield arm strength rankings. Tier 5 is filled with bounce-back candidates and high-risk/ high reward players. Lanky, athletic 5-foot-11 170-pounds. Buxton, Myers, Pham, Laureano, Moore and Carlson could be double-digit homer and steal guys. Previous picks: DJ LeMahieu (hit), Aaron Judge (power), Ronald Acua Jr. (run), Matt Chapman (defense). His best Philadelphia days may be in front of him. Yordan lvarez actually played more games at designated hitter (77) than he did in the outfield (56), but since there are not enough everyday DHs for us to do a top 25 list for that position, he's being included here alongside the rest of the league's best outfielders. Right-Handed Pitcher, Mississippi State. The big question is whether he can continue his elite baserunning into his early 30s. The 33-year-old figures to be a hot commodity on the free-agent market this winter. a batted-ball event with a launch angle between eight Tatis, of course, was a sensation in just about every way as a rookie in 2019, and his throwing ability was no exception. His middling defense (-6 DRS, -4.8 UZR/150) and the time he missed kept him from ranking any higher. Robles doesn't hit for average or power, and while he can steal the occasional base, his sub .300 on-base percentage limits that skill. The 29-year-old proved that performance was sustainable over a full season this year, logging a 133 OPS+ while hitting .296/.346/.524 with 29 doubles, 32 home runs and 116 RBI. Will Bednar. If you're willing to deal with the risk, Arozerana could turn out to be the steal of the draft. Tier 3: Randy Arozarena, Trent Grisham, Michael Conforto, Giancarlo Stanton, Nick Castellanos, J.D. As a 28-year-old rookie, Garcia posted a 101 OPS+ with 31 home runs, 90 RBI and 16 steals, and he was a surprise All-Star for the rebuilding Rangers. Managers who dont grab an outfielder in the first two rounds will still have an ample supply of impact players to choose from after that. But the best of the best can fire lasers directly at their targets, from any position. Martinez showed an obvious decline in back speed last year, as evident by his nearly 13o point drop in batting average on fastballs, but he is just two years removed from a .304/.383/.557 season, so it's hard to completely give up one. Discover the current and all time season leaders in Seasonal, Offensive, Defensive, and Pitching Wins Above Replacement in Major League Baseball on ESPN.com MLB Wins Above Replacement - 2023 Season: 13-ranked prospect. He failed to maintain a red-hot start in his first season with the team, but he put together the best year of his career in 2021, hitting .309/.362/.576 for a 136 OPS+ with 38 doubles, 34 home runs and 100 RBI for a career-high 3.2 WAR. exit velocity of 95 mph or higher. Bellinger has made some spectacular throws, like his 268-foot laser from right field to third base to bail the Dodgers out of a late-inning bases-loaded jam against the Mets last May 27 (his second outfield assist of that game). Health is always the main concern with Springer: Entering his age 31 season, he's only played more than 140 games once. The Yankees re-signed Brett Gardner, but they may finally give Frazier a chance to play every day. On one hand, he was excellent against major league pitching as a rookie during the regular season and then hit like Babe Ruth during the postseason. The precision is there (nine errors across nearly 1,140 innings last year), and so is the power and reaction time. Its not as if my defense pick, Andrelton Simmons, has a poor arm. Despite his 2020 postseason heroics, Arozarena entered the 2021 season with rookie eligibility, and he wound up leading all rookies with 4.1 WAR. 1B -- average of top 1% of throws -- minimum 100 throws to qualify. The Giants acquired him at the trade deadline, and he is poised to cash in as a free agent this offseason. velocity and launch angle. Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images, Brandon Sloter/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. He played at least 50 innings at six different positions and hit .281/.394/.379 with 27 extra-base hits and a 12.8 percent walk rate in 126 games, posting a 4.1-WAR season that earned him a third-place finish in NL Rookie of the Year voting. The Cubs surprisingly held onto him at the trade deadline despite significant interest, and he now enters a contract year looking to build off his breakout performance. Since there are three times as many outfielders as there are other positions on the diamond, it made sense to add an honorable mention list of 25 guys onto our top 25 list. But Bellinger is one of only three outfielders with a tracked throw over 101 mph last season -- Hunter Renfroe and Aristides Aquino are the others -- and that wasn't the first time he hit triple-digit velo on a throw from the outfield (he also did it once during the 2018 postseason). An All-Star for just the second time in his career, he slotted perfectly in the No. You can also find our other draft rankings for all sorts of league formats, continually updated throughout the preseason, right herein our main fantasy baseball Rankings Wizard tool. The 30-year-old posted a 126 OPS+ with 29 home runs and 72 RBI, and he had 11 outfield assists in a career-high 2.7-WAR season. Up next is the 22-year-old Soto, whose production over his first three seasons has him drawing comparisons to Hall of Famer Ted Williams. With 305 total bases he was one of just 12 players to break the 300 mark during the 2022 season, joining Aaron Judge (391) as the only outfielders on that exclusive list. The No. Another year, another pile of accolades for Mookie Betts who won his fifth Silver Slugger, sixth Gold Glove and made his sixth trip to the All-Star Game in the third season of a 12-year, $365 million deal with the Los Angeles Dodgers. If you've got one of the first five picks in your 2021 Fantasy baseball draft, there's roughly an 80% chance you're taking an outfielder with your first pick. His exit velocity and hard-hit percentage were in the bottom 20 percent of hitters, and after his smoking hot, BABIP induced start, he hit just .216 with a .610 OPS. J Francoeur 3. He entered spring training far from assured of a spot on the Baltimore Orioles' Opening Day roster, but he won the starting center field job and went on to have the biggest breakout season of 2021. The 25-year-old posted a 128 OPS+ with 28 doubles, 30 home runs, 107 RBI and 25 steals in 29 attempts. He was hitting .283/.394/.596 with 19 doubles, 24 home runs and 17 steals through 82 games at the time of the injury, good for a 3.6 WAR season. Here are this years top fantasy outfielders, broken down into tiers. Non-tendered by the Chicago Cubs at the start of last offseason, Schwarber signed a one-year, $10 million contract with the Nationals. 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He was one of only two qualified hitters with a strikeout rate below 10 percent, and he also won Gold Glove honors thanks to his brilliant defensive metrics (21 DRS, 8.4 UZR/150) in left field. as Active Spin. For a player who actually provides value on offense, look at Ryan Mountcastle. To reach the top tier of outfielders, Robert needs to improve his terrible plate discipline, as he struck out nearly four times as often as he walked last year. Changing The Way The World Views Construction. A range-based metric of skill that shows how many outs a Laureanos arm is best known for the throw mentioned above, which resulted in a double play after he caught a fly ball hit by Justin Upton at Angel Stadium. He also once again took home Gold Glove honors in a 6.3 WAR season. Brett Phillips (for Rays): 99.7 mph, May 20 vs. Orioles 5. This outfielder class is below average as a whole. Because of that, it's generally better to look at more than one season's worth of data to get an idea of how much value a player is adding with his throwing ability from the outfield. 1. If you are looking for a cheap power source, Soler is the way to go. The likelihood, in percent, that an outfielder will be He made more consistent contact while maintaining his usual elite average exit velocity and hard-hit rate metrics. Beyond the gaudy numbers, he was the one consistent in a Yankees lineup that dealt with injuries and under performance, and he did it all while also playing a career-high 632.2 innings in center field. able to make a catch on an individual batted ball. Don't have an account? G Jenkins 8. He also slugged 38 home runs while winning his second straight Gold Glove. Like Trout, Yelich still managed to have a career-high exit velocity in a down season, a total that landed him in the 99 percentile among major league hitters. The 26-year-old had 32 doubles, 20 home runs, 20 steals and 94 runs scored, and he was a Gold Glove finalist in left field. How much time, in seconds, it takes a runner to get from The Red Sox acquired him at the deadline, and he finished with a 148 OPS+ and 32 home runs in 113 games, posting a .266/.374/.554 line that represented career highs across the board. No other infielder came close to matching his average arm strength on Statcast-measured throws. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! Brandon Nimmo was a 5-WAR player for the first time in his career in 2022, just in time to test the free agency waters. The reigning AL Rookie of the Year heading into the 2022 season, Arozarena enjoyed his second straight 20/20 season, hitting .263/.327/.445 for a 124 OPS+ with 41 doubles, 20 home runs, 89 RBI and 32 steals. One important stipulation: Each player could only be selected for one of the five tools. He also had the two fastest-tracked infield assists to first base -- reaching 94 mph -- and was responsible for about half of the 92-plus mph assists from all infielders. One player who has been added to the top 80 is new Brewers outfielder Jackie Bradley Jr. the fastest reactions and most direct routes in the Now, they are arguably the two most valuable fantasy players in the league. Previous picks: Anthony Rendon (hit), Mike Trout (power), Byron Buxton (run), Simmons (defense), Ramn Laureano, CF, AsKey stat: 321-foot assist on Aug. 11, 2018. I Suzuki 2. Bednar's fastball has some late life and ride and has ticked up from last year, now more comfortably sitting 91-94/95. Scouts have long graded position players on five tools that are central to success in the game: hitting, hitting for power, running, fielding and throwing. His 10.6 WAR led all of baseball, as did his ridiculous 211 OPS+ meaning he was more than twice as productive as the average hitter. Signed to a four-year, $79 million deal during the offseason, Schwarber slugged an NL-leading 46 home runs in his first season with the Phillies. Once regarded as injury-prone, the 28-year-old has missed only 10 games over the past three years combined, averaging 36 homers, 107 RBIs, 105 runs and 16 steals per 162 games in that span. Another outfield prospect the Cardinals traded away before he broke out, Garca had a 31-homer rookie season in 2021, but he was a more well-rounded offensive player this season. Statcast Outfielder Jump Leaderboard | baseballsavant.com Outfielder Jump Leaderboard Current: Outfielder Jump 2023 Minimum Attempts (Q) Update Download CSV Jump is calculated only on plays that are Two Stars or harder, meaning with a 90% Catch Probability or lower. How hard, in miles per hour, a pitch is thrown. J Edmonds 7. After injuries limited him to just 78 games in his first season with the Blue Jays, Springer bounced back with a 131 OPS+ in 133 games while earning his fourth career All-Star selection. Since there are three times as many outfielders as there are other positions on the diamond, it made sense to tack an honorable mention list of 25 guys onto our top 25 list. The 25-year-old hit .306/.406/.613 for a gaudy 187 OPS+ that trailed only Aaron Judge among all players, tallying 29 doubles, 37 home runs, 97 RBI and 95 runs scored in 135 games for a 6.8-WAR season. Welcome to the third edition of theScore's MLB Power Rankings for the 2023 season. Don't fall for the name recognition: Aaron Judge should not be at the top of draft boards, and he has to prove he can be both healthy and productive before he moves out of Tier 3. Robert may have the higher ceiling of the two, but he also has the lower floor.
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